Tony Nominations 2013

[jetts7]

I know it is way to early to guess who will be nominated, but why not! Here are my guesses:

Best Musical:
Matilda
Hands on a Hardbody
Cinderella
Bring It On

Best Leading Actress:
Laura Osnes (Cinderella)
Lilla Crawford (Annie)
The Matilda's (Matilda)
Patina Miller (Pippin)

Best Leading Actor:
Rob McClure (Chaplin)
Bertie Carvel (Matilda)
Billy Porter (Kinky Boots)
Matthew James Thomas (Pippin)

[MissAnneThrop]

Don't know about Cinderella, they might classify it as a revival as they have done to shows in the past. I would think Carolee Carmello might slip in instead of the girl from Annie.

Aren't there usually 5 nominees? I know it has been this way since 2000.

[b-way obsessed]

Just out of curiosity, why is there only one actress for the role of Annie, but there are three actors for Billy Elliot/three actresses for Matilda? I figure it has something to do with child labor laws, but why isn't the Annie actress affected by it? She's on stage practically the whole show!

[Buddy Plummer2]

Cinderella is going to be an interesting case this season. Because it's never been on Broadway, AND because it has an entirely new book, plus some wonderful R&H trunk songs, I could see the producers trying to position it either way. Not saying it would definitely win, but depending on Matilda, Kinky Boots, Pippin, and Motown are received in this final stretch, who knows how each category will pan out.

That being said (because I think it's fun to try and predict what will get nominated) here's the two case scenarios:

Scenario 1: Cinderella is a New Musical

Best Musical:
Matilda
Kinky Boots
Hands on a Hardbody
Cinderella

Best Revival:
Pippin
The Mystery of Edwin Drood
Annie
Jekyll and Hyde

Scenario 2: Cinderella is a Revival

Best Musical:
Matilda
Kinky Boots
Hands on a Hardbody
Motown OR Bring It On (Though given Riedel's article, odds are more in favor of Bring It On)

(Also realize this to be near impossible, but I would LOVE for A Christmas Story to be nominated, GREAT night of theatre)

Best Revival:
Pippin
The Mystery of Edwin Drood
Cinderella
Annie

As it currently stands, Cinderella has far better odds as a Revival than a New Musical, just because of the near sure-fire hit, Matilda. Meanwhile, Annie... is Annie, Drood will have long closed, and depending on reception of both, Pippin could be Cinderella's only real competition.

Other Categories:

(Going to assume all actors from Hands on a Hardbody will be ruled featured, like Spelling Bee)
Best Leading Actor:
Bertie Carvel (Matilda)
Billy Porter (Kinky Boots)
Rob McClure (Chaplin)
Anthony Warlow (Annie)
Matthew James Thomas (Pippin)

Possible Spoilers:
Stark Sands (Kinky Boots)
Someone from Motown
Santino Fontana (Cinderella)
Jim Norton (Drood)

Best Leading Actress:
The Matildas (Matilda)
Laura Osnes (Cinderella)
Lilla Crawford (Annie)
Patina Miller (Pippin)
Carolee Carmello (Scandalous)

Possible Spoilers:
Deborah Cox (Jekyll & Hyde)
Stephanie J Block (Drood)

[HeyMrMusic]

I don't see how Cinderella could be eligible for Best Musical, nor why they'd want it to compete in that category. Flower Drum Song (and many other classics) had completely new books and were deemed revivals. And there have been stage versions of Cinderella before (I guess unlike State Fair).

[Mercades]

A few questions : I didn't read riedels article... The track record for closed shows isn't that great for noms.. What did he say?

Also, Lila Crawford? Really? Is that a general consensus? Strange there isn't a runaway female... A la... Sutton, Audra....

Lastly, what are people's thoughts on "pippin"?

[jnb9872]

I would expect most people's thoughts on "Pippin" to be something like "I'll let you know when I see it."

[lenstersf]

There's an entire thread about Pippin at the A.R.T. I loved it. It received stellar reviews in Boston. I think it has a very good shot at winning multiple Tony awards, specifically Best Featured Actress for Andrea Martin, Best Actress for Patina Miller, and Best Revival...I would't be surprised if Matthew James Thomas gets nominated. I hope it's well-received on Broadway.

[ajh]

Lilla Crawford for Annie?? Seriously?! Maybe I caught her on an off night but it seemed to me she was channelling Bride Of Chucky. I'd be more inclined toward Taylor Louderman for Bring It On.

[Sauja]

Huh. Best Actress in a Musical really isn't going to be a hell of a category this year, is it? Just looking at who will be eligible...is it true that Stephanie J. Block is Leading in Drood? I'd think she'd be Featured, but then, there aren't really any lead performances in that show. Ditto Hardbody. Motown's obviously a total unknown, but maybe Diana Ross will be a lead role?

Pending category placement, could these be all the candidates?
The Matildas (Matilda)
Laura Osnes (Cinderella)
Lilla Crawford (Annie)
Patina Miller (Pippin)
Carolee Carmello (Scandalous)
Deborah Cox (Jekyll & Hyde)
Stephanie J Block (Drood)
Taylor Louderman (Bring It On)
Adrienne Warren (Bring It On)
Valisia LeKae (Motown)

[suestorm]

"Lilla Crawford for Annie?? Seriously?! Maybe I caught her on an off night but it seemed to me she was channelling Bride Of Chucky. I'd be more inclined toward Taylor Louderman for Bring It On"

Bride of Chucky LOL. i havent seen it but i did love love love Taylor Louderman!

[RaisedOnMusicals]

MissAnne, it's four nominees per show, five per acting category, and it's been that way for a long time.

In terms of whether or nor Cinderella is new or revived, I think that the producers will lobby for it being a new musical, as the same producers are involved with Pippin.

My own opinion, which counts for nothing, is that it should be considered a new musical.

[HeyMrMusic]

How is the situation any different from the Flower Drum Song revival (other than the fact that Flower Drum Song previously played Broadway)? Totally new story, characters, song placements, etc. Eligible for both Best Revival of the Musical and Best Book of a Musical. Many shows that have not played Broadway have been deemed eligible for revival categories. So how is Cinderella different in your opinion? (This is a genuine question, I guess I'm not seeing why people think it's a new musical, producers' agenda aside...please enlighten!)

[RaisedOnMusicals]

The actual answer is going to be whether the Tony committee deems Cinderella to be a classic. Here is its definition:

Classics. A play or musical that is determined by the Tony Awards
Administration Committee (in its sole discretion) to be a “classic” or in the historical or popular repertoire shall not be eligible for an Award in the Best Play or Best Musical category but may be eligible in the appropriate Best Revival category, if any, provided it meets all other eligibility
requirements set forth in these Rules.

But one distinction between it and Flower Drum Song is that Cinderella has never been on Broadway before. Please don't misunderstand me, one can argue this either way, and ultimately we'll have to wait until the committee decides.

If anyone cares, I've attached the link for the 2012-13 Tony Rules and Regulations.
Tony Rules

[HeyMrMusic]

Assassins had never played Broadway and made its debut 14 years after its Off-Broadway debut. It was deemed a "classic" by the Tony committee.

By contrast, Cinderella has been represented over the last six decades by three TV movies, licensed stage versions, and regional and touring productions across the world.

Don't worry, I'm not striking you down. I see where you're coming from too. And you're right, we won't know until it's decided upon.