Let's Make Some Ridiculously Innaccurate Tony Predictions

[PiraguaGuy2]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 9:55am

It's almost the new year: never too early to start predicting the Tonys! Yes, the calls we make will probably turn out to be grossly wrong by the time the Tonys roll around, but let's have some fun and try to make some calls anyway.

Best Musical:
Ghost the Musical
Newsies
Nice Work if You Can Get It
Once

Best Revival of a Musical:
The Gershwins' Porgy and Bess
Evita
Follies
Jesus Christ Superstar

Best Actor in a Musical:
Matthew Broderick, Nice Work if You Can Get It
Richard Fleeshman, Ghost the Musical
Jeremy Jordan, Newsies
Norm Lewis, The Gershwins' Porgy and Bess
Steve Kazee, Once

Best Actress in a Musical:
Jan Maxwell, Follies
Audra McDonald, The Gershwins' Porgy and Bess
Cristin Milotti, Once
Kelli O'Hara, Nice Work if You Can Get It
Elena Roger, Evita

Best Featured Actor in a Musical:
Danny Burstein, Follies
Michael Cerveris, Evita
Joshua Henry, The Gershwins' Porgy and Bess
Michael McGrath, Nice Work if You Can Get It
Josh Young, Jesus Christ Superstar

Best Featured Actress in a Musical:
Jane Houdyshell, Follies
Da'Vine Joy Randolph, Ghost the Musical
Judy Kaye, Nice Work if You Can Get It
Karen Mason, Rebecca
Elaine Paige, Follies

Updated On: 12/30/11 at 09:55 AM

[HistoryBoy2]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 10:00am

Richard Fleeshman will not get a nomination, guaranteed.

[Musicaldudepeter]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 10:21am

DA'VINE JOY RANDOLPH will be the only performer in Ghost to be nominated, in my opinion. And scratch the ONCE leading actress nomination, and put in Bernadette Peters. There is NO WAY Bernadette will not be nominated.

But I think it's safe to say Audra will nab her fifth Tony Award for Bess.
Either Elaine Paige OR Da'Vine Joy Randolph will win the Tony for featured actress

[SeanMartin]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 10:21am

Best Totally Wrong Director of a Musical Involving Paper Thin Characters Attached to an Absurdly Bloated Concept: Julie Taymor
Best Angsty Score Since SPRING AWAKENING: SPIDERMAN
Best Scenic MisFire of the Decade: ON A CLEAR DAY
Best "What Were They Thinking" Moment: Bernadette's red dress in a tie with the entire costume rack of ON A CLEAR DAY
Best Use of En-Masse Manflesh on the Boards: the tap dancing sailors in ANYTHING GOES
Show Most Likely to Succeed in High School Contest Productions a Decade from Now: LYSISTRATA JONES
Show Most Likely to Get NRA Membership: BONNIE AND CLYDE

Well, you did say ridiculous, didnt you?

[Mr Roxy]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 1:18pm

Going out on a limb here but

Nods for score, 2 leads & supporting actress in a musical to Bonnie & Clyde

[jetts7]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 1:26pm

Best Musical:
Bonnie and Clyde
(maybe) Spider-Man
Ghost
Newsies

Best Revival of a Musical:
Godspell
Follies
Jesus Christ Superstar
Porgy and Bess

[ljay889]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 1:37pm

Bernadette will be nominated. And I think Ron Raines has a chance as well.

Updated On: 12/30/11 at 01:37 PM

[ChenoKahn]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 1:40pm

I think if it's another weak season like last one ( except Book of Mormon,Bloody Bloody Andrew Jackson, Scottsboro Boys and both revivals with two of those being closed) then Follies could pull Scottsboro Boys come Tony time.

[TheHappyPhantom]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 1:53pm

I think with Newsies coming in so suddenly, Disney has its eyes set on winning. It sure won't be Bonnie and Clyde or Lysistrata. Once could surprise some people if the transfer to Bway holds up.

Best Actress is between Jan and Audra.
Featured is between Terri White and basically, everyone else.
Best Actor's a bit up in the air, but I think Ron Raines will be nominated. Keep in mind the actors from Spider-Man can be nominated now too. I wouldn't be surprised if Reeve Carney and the cast got a couple nods just for surviving the whole mess.

[ljay889]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 1:56pm

PS. Piragua, Burstein was deemed leading for FOLLIES. He won't be in the featured category.

[Ejm105989]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 1:56pm

Play wise I think Samuel L. Jackson, Angela Basset, and Mountain Top will get noms.

[ChenoKahn]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 1:56pm

HappyPhantom, I don't think the race will be between Jan and Audra ( as much as I love Jan). I think it will be between Elena Rogers and Audra. Also featured actress could be very different considering the featured female roles in Follies aren't too big.

[givesmevoice]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 1:57pm

Do we think the producers will petition for Ricky Martin to be considered a Leading Actor? I have a feeling they will.

[adamgreer]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 2:01pm

Remove Richard Fleeshman and insert Danny Burstein for Follies and I think that's a pretty good guess at Best Actor in a Musical.

Leading Actress will be ultra competitive. Besides the 5 women you nominated, Peters will also be in contention, along with Caissie Levy and Sierra Boggess. It will be interesting to see who gets the shaft.

Featured is between Terri White and basically, everyone else.

No it isn't. Terri White likely won't even be nominated, though chances are 10 years from now in an interview she'll claim she was.

Updated On: 12/30/11 at 02:01 PM

[ChenoKahn]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 2:02pm

Im pretty sure Danny Burstein is featured.

[adamgreer]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 2:05pm

Im pretty sure Danny Burstein is featured.

Nope. All 4 of the Follies leads, consistent with the opening night credits, were deemed leads, and thus, eligibile for leading actor and actress awards.

[ljay889]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 2:05pm

Im pretty sure Danny Burstein is featured.

Wrong. Peters, Maxwell, Burstein, and Raines are all leading.

http://www.tonyawards.com/en_US/news/articles/2011-11-03/201111031320343381596.html

All other decisions were consistent with the opening night credits.
What that means: In general, unless the committee has determined otherwise, performers listed ABOVE the title may be eligible in the Leading Actor/Actress categories; if a performers is listed BELOW the title, he or she is considered a "Featured" performer.



Updated On: 12/30/11 at 02:05 PM

[ChenoKahn]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 2:06pm

Well sorry no need to be an asshole ( directed at ljay not adam)

[TheHappyPhantom]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 2:15pm

Well Adam, since you say so. -__-

[IdinaBellFoster]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 3:39pm

Well not to be an asshole but the Follies placement has been discussed and announced plenty of times on this board.

[ChenoKahn]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 4:12pm

Not to be an asshoel but I don't read every thread and post concerning Follies placement.

[Musicaldudepeter]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 5:35pm

Well you should have.

[pinoyidol2006]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 6:43pm

There was a musical called "Once" this season? Huh.

[PopAria]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 9:02pm

I'd love for Laura Osnes to get a nom. Her performances of How Bout A Dance and Dyin' aint so bad are fab. I know it's just two parts, but they're worth it.

Pretty sure Jeremy is gonna get one for making Bonnie & Clyde watchable.

I'd like to think the score for Bonnie & Clyde will get a nom as well. But that's just dependent on the suckiness of Once and Rebecca (Bonnie & Clyde is far better than Lysis Jones so that's one down... )

I don't think Lysis Jones should get anything.

I'm all for Spider-Man and Ghost getting a nomination for best score. Haven't heard anything else.

[VernonGersch]

Posted: 12/30/11 at 10:13pm

Best Revival of a Musical
Evita
Follies
The Gershwin's Porgy & Bess
Jesus Christ Superstar

Best Musical
Ghost
Once
Newsies
One Man, Two Guvnors
Nice Work If You Can Get It


Best Play
Clybourne Park
The Columnist
The Road To Mecca
The Mountaintop

Revival Of A Play
Private Lives
The Best Man
Death Of A Salesman
(what else am I missing?)